HOME > Latest News > Article > How to Calculate and Monitor your Break-Even Point
Latest News
Article

How to Calculate and Monitor your Break-Even Point

By Alex Sogno, CEO & Senior Hotel Asset Manager for Global Asset Solutions
14 September 2020
9 min read
Share Article
Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin

As hotels begin to re-open, it is crucial that they’re mindful of their Break-Even Point (BEP) to understand their cost levels and to determine what RevPAR level is necessary to re-open. COVID-19 presented many challenges for hotels who are currently striving to merely break-even instead of maximizing profit as usual. While hotels usually aim for 35% occupancy threshold, many are hoping that COVID-19 cost reductions will lower the breakeven threshold. How can a hotel understand when it is the right time to resume operations? What occupancies and rates should they be aiming for? How has COVID-19 effected the BEP considerations? Through calculating a hotel’s BEP, Hotel Asset Managers are able to determine when is the optimal time for a hotel to reopen or if it may be better to remain closed until higher occupancy levels are attainable.

Analysing a hotel’s concrete cost structure is the most challenging aspect for hotel operators to calculate their BEP. As it is well-known, a hotel’s expenses have one component that is fixed and another that varies directly with occupancy or facility usage, which both need to be considered in the BEP calculation. Fixed costs will be more difficult to cover or decrease during a temporary closure, whereas variable costs will ultimately cease as operations do. However, because hotels were temporarily closed for the first time in history, operators and owners could clearly identify their fixed costs.

While the BEP is not a revolutionary cost analysis tool, it has become harder to calculate as historical data is no longer a reliable benchmark. COVID-19 will impact many of the current industry norms and these factors (discussed below) need to be considered in any future BEP calculation.

Below are the key areas to focus on when establishing your BEP. These should be monitored closely as COVID-19 may impact and change them.

Payroll
While fixed payroll (salaries found in A&G) will be more difficult to minimize, payroll that is operationally distributed such as rooms and F&B staff will be reduced alongside the limited operations. It is suggested that F&B staff requirements are based on daily calculations of each outlet’s profitability.

Little staff was needed during the temporary closure and operational staff can remain limited until higher occupancies return. Efforts should be made to re-integrate the minimal personnel level, operating on an as-needed basis, in order to minimize the use of available cash and use the government aid provided while fulfilling its conditions. It is important to keep in mind that once a hotel is fully re-opened, the operation may lose access to its governmental subsidy which will affect the BEP.

It is crucial to monitor payroll closely until the hotel is fully reopened given the considerable expense. Asset managers should request a weekly HR report detailing Full Timers v Demand-based payroll to compare the operator’s reforecast with their pickup. Regular tracking is necessary to avoid high salary costs that are not currently affordable which is likely to occur should an asset manager only rely on the P&L report provided the following month.

The “new normal” COVID-19 norm may also require less staff as guests will prefer less interaction and a more digitalized experience.

F&B Expenses
It is likely that F&B expenses will be reduced as it will become a more planned and less spontaneous operation. Restaurants will need to strictly control how many patrons are served and seated in the restaurant at a time. Many F&B operations may become pre-ordered systems, allowing hotels to plan better and increase their cost control. Buffets, a very costly and wasteful operation, have become a thing of the past which will aid tremendously in cutting down F&B expenses. However, alternative F&B operations may require more staff than a buffet. Staffing level should be considered carefully as this could increase expenses instead of minimizing them. F&B expenses can also be controlled by reducing the menu offering in order to reduce stock and minimize waste.

Rooms Expenses
It is still unclear whether room expenses are expected to increase or decrease as a result of COVID-19. On one hand, there will be stricter standards and more sanitation required. Additionally, the public areas will need to be cleaned at a higher frequency than before. On the other hand, housekeeping schedules and turnovers have been reduced as a result of COVID-19 in an effort to limit exposure and contact. This will have a large effect on the housekeeping labor requirements and payroll expenses.

Other Operated Departments
Operators will need to determine if there is sufficient demand and occupancies to operate a spa or other leisure facilities. To achieve break-even, it may be more beneficial to remain closed while the costs exceed its potential revenues and if the risk of re-opening is deemed too high.

Review All Contracts and Monitor Supplier Payments

  • Simplify the number of suppliers in F&B, reduce expensive stock (e.g., the wine cellar)
  • Check all historical contracts which shouldn’t be renewed (e.g., interim staff providers)
  • Limit monthly contracts that are not 100% useful (e.g., PR agencies), and renegotiate commissions (e.g. local OTAs)
  • Review and negotiate large contracts (e.g., laundry, dry cleaning), especially those that don’t impact the hotel’s operations directly (e.g., energy, insurance)
  • Software licenses & HR (external payroll management agencies)
  • Don’t rely only on the operator’s Profit Protection Plan as it is often only easy-to-pick savings. The approach should be similar to a ‘zero based budget’

It is the right time to clean up this part of the hotel business. Once revenues come back, we can always reassess the situation.

Calculating your BEP
Once the hotel has a clear idea of the cost structure and understands what areas are crucial to focus on, the calculation can begin. All that is needed is a basic profit and loss statement that excludes the hotel’s occupancy levels as this data is the most difficult to estimate during uncertain times.

Below is an example of how hotels can quickly and easily assess their BEP in terms of sales and occupancy and discover what occupancy they should strive for.

The example uses a 200 key luxury hotel in a European capital and calculates the Net BEP. It can be adapted to individual circumstances as needed.

Let’s assume that the Hotel has 200 guestrooms. The total fixed costs for the hotel are €3.8 million. The variable costs are €30 per room.

The average daily rate for a hotel in the market is forecasted to be about €350 in the summer 2020. To calculate the BEP in number of rooms sold, the calculation goes as follows:

BEP rooms sold = Total Fixed Costs for the Hotel ÷ Selling Price per unit – Variable Costs per unit = 11,825 rooms

The BEP can then also be visualized in revenues, by simply multiplying the BEP in number of rooms sold * the average daily rate. For the chosen example the BEP in sales is about €4.1 million

The BEP in occupancy levels is the most interesting and crucial measure for a hotel re-opening post-COVID-19. BEP in sales ÷ ADR * 365 = 16.2%. This means the chosen hotel needs to achieve a 16.2% occupancy level in order to break even.

How to Keep Costs Low and Break-Even - Some other examples:

Temporarily Close Down Low-Traffic Areas of the Hotel
This could be entire floors, public spaces that are not utilized due to social-distancing measures, or specific F&B outlets. Conversions are also possible through leveraging technology to convert traditional F&B outlets into delivery options for guests and externals alike.

Improve Energy Efficiency
By conducting a thorough analysis of utility costs, the hotel can find areas where costs can be reduced by employing more energy-efficient automation technologies, such as light timers and LED light bulbs.

Reviewing Cancellation Policies
With travellers being more cautious when complete bookings far in advance, the hotel can attract more guests by being more lenient with their cancellation policies. For example, in the case of a cancellation, the hotel could offer the guest the option to rebook at the same hotel within one year.

Written by

Vani van Nielen, Eliana Levine, Larina Maira Laube, Jedaiah Gwee, and Paloma Guerra.

Co-Published with Alex Sogno (CEO – Senior Hotel Asset Manager at Global Asset Solutions). Mr Sogno began his career in New York City after graduating with honours at Ecole Hôtelière de Lausanne, Switzerland. He joined HVS International New York, and he established a new venture at the Cushman & Wakefield headquarters in Manhattan. In 2005, Mr Sogno began working for Kingdom Hotel Investments (KHI), founded by HRH Prince Al-Walid bin Talal bin Abdul Aziz Al Saud member of the Saudi Royal family, and asset managed various hotels including Four Seasons, Fairmont, Raffles, Mövenpick, and Swissôtel. He also participated in the Initial Public Offering (IPO) of KHI at the London Stock Exchange as well as the Dubai International Financial Exchange. Mr Sogno is also the co-writer of the ‘Hotel Asset Management’ textbook second edition published by the Hospitality Asset Managers Association (HAMA), the American Hotel & Lodging Education Institute, and the University of Denver. He is the Founder of the Hospitality Asset Managers Association Asia Pacific (HAMA AP) and Middle East Africa (HAMA MEA).

Global Asset Solutions, your key partner in hotel asset management, has partnered with a team of students and alumnae from Ecole Hôtelière de Lausanne, recognized by industry leaders as the best hospitality school in the world. Together, we are working on compiling the best practices to help hotel owners and operators navigate through the COVID-19 crisis. By combining diligent research, expert opinions, and our own experiences, we will be publishing the best practices on the most current topics facing our industry. Our team is composed of Eliana Levine, Larina Maira Laube, Vani van Nielen, Marie-Amélie Pons and Paloma Guerra Lafuente with the guidance of EHL Lecturer Remy Rein.